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Catastrophe: Risk and Response by Posner, Richard A.
by Posner, Richard A. | HC | LikeNew
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所在地：Aurora, Illinois, 美國
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- 物品狀況
- 很新
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- Binding
- Hardcover
- Weight
- 1 lbs
- Product Group
- Book
- IsTextBook
- Yes
- ISBN
- 9780195178135
- Book Title
- Catastrophe : Risk and Response
- Item Length
- 6.2in
- Publisher
- Oxford University Press, Incorporated
- Publication Year
- 2004
- Format
- Hardcover
- Language
- English
- Item Height
- 1.2in
- Genre
- Technology & Engineering, Law, Social Science
- Topic
- Methodology, General, Disasters & Disaster Relief, Emergency Management
- Item Width
- 9.3in
- Item Weight
- 20.7 Oz
- Number of Pages
- 336 Pages
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Product Information
Catastrophes, whether natural or man-made, that could destroy the human race are often dismissed as alarmist or fanciful, the stuff of science fiction. In fact the risk of such disasters is real, and growing. A collision with an asteroid that might kill a quarter of humanity in 24 hours and the rest soon after; irreversible global warming that might flip, precipitating "snowball earth;" voraciously replicating nanomachines; a catastrophic accident in a particle accelerator that might reduce the earth to a hyperdense sphere 100 meters across; a pandemic of gene-spliced smallpox launched by bioterrorists; even conquest by superintelligent robots-all these potential extinction events, and others, are within the realm of the possible and warrant serious thought about assessment and prevention. They are attracting the concern of reputable scientists-but not of the general public or the nation's policymakers. How should the nation and the world respond to disaster possibilities that, for a variety of psychological and cultural reasons, people find it hard to wrap their minds around? Richard Posner shows that what is needed is a fresh, thoroughly interdisciplinary perspective that will meld the insights of lawyers, economists, psychologists, and other social scientists with those of the physical sciences. Responsibility for averting catastrophe cannot be left either to scientists or to politicians and other policymakers ignorant of science. As in many of his previous books, Posner brings law and the social sciences to bear on a contemporary problem--in this case one of particular urgency. Weighing the risk and the possible responses in each case, Posner shows us what to worry about and what to dismiss, and discusses concrete ways of minimizing the most dangerous risks. Must we yield a degree of national sovereignty in order to deal effectively with global warming? Are limitations on our civil liberties a necessary and proper response to the danger of bioterror attacks? Would investing more heavily in detection and interception systems for menacing asteroids be money well-spent? How far can we press cost-benefit analysis in the design of responses to world-threatening events? Should the institutional framework of science policy be altered? Do we need educational reform? Is the interface of law and science awry? These are but a few of the issues canvassed in this fascinating, disturbing, and necessary book.
Product Identifiers
Publisher
Oxford University Press, Incorporated
ISBN-10
0195178130
ISBN-13
9780195178135
eBay Product ID (ePID)
30790954
Product Key Features
Book Title
Catastrophe : Risk and Response
Format
Hardcover
Language
English
Topic
Methodology, General, Disasters & Disaster Relief, Emergency Management
Publication Year
2004
Genre
Technology & Engineering, Law, Social Science
Number of Pages
336 Pages
Dimensions
Item Length
6.2in
Item Height
1.2in
Item Width
9.3in
Item Weight
20.7 Oz
Additional Product Features
Lc Classification Number
Hv551.2.P675 2004
Reviews
"Catastrophe is worth the price of the book simply for Posner's lively and readable summary of the apocalyptic dystopias that serious scientists judge to be possible."-- Graham Allison, The Washington Post Book World, "A fine lawyerly analysis.... Posner's perspective, very different from those held by most scientists, is a welcome addition to considerations of catastrophic risks."--Science, "The scientific community should pay attention to Judge Richard Posner's Catastrophe. Posner reminds us that we continue to deny or avoid dealing with low probability, high consequence natural and man made risks to society such as asteroid collisions, biodiversity, and terrorism. One ofAmerica's preeminent scholars of social issues presents a compelling analysis of the problem of catastrophic risks and needed public policy response."--John M. Deutch, Institute Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, "We would be well advised to... take the message of this book seriously. We ignore it at (a small risk of) our (very great) peril."--The New York Times Book Review "Catastrophe is worth the price of the book simply for Posner's lively and readable summary of the apocalyptic dystopias that serious scientists judge to be possible."-- Graham Allison, The Washington Post Book World "A fine lawyerly analysis.... Posner's perspective, very different from those held by most scientists, is a welcome addition to considerations of catastrophic risks."--Science "Will likely spark controversy.... subtle insights...[and] thoughtful analysis."--Publishers Weekly "Once again, Judge Posner has added to our cultural dialogue in a useful and interesting way."--Law and Politics Book Review "With a broad vision and powerful intellectual tools, Posner addresses issues vital to our 21st Century technological civilization. Catastrophe will make our world a safer place."--K. Eric Drexler, Founder and Chairman Emeritus of Foresight Institute, author of Nanosystems "The scientific community should pay attention to Judge Richard Posner's Catastrophe. Posner reminds us that we continue to deny or avoid dealing with low probability, high consequence natural and man made risks to society such as asteroid collisions, biodiversity, and terrorism. One of America's preeminent scholars of social issues presents a compelling analysis of the problem of catastrophic risks and needed public policy response." --John M. Deutch, Institute Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology "This book provides a balanced and immensely informative discussion of catastrophic risks to the planet, and makes a logical first stab at policy responses. It should stimulate far more attention to the growing threat of such catastrophes as bioterrorism, strangelet disasters from particle accelerators, and non-linear climate change, among the academic and policy community."--Ian W. H. Parry, Resources for the Future, "The Scientific Community should pay attention to Judge Richard Posner'sCatastrophe--Risk and Response. Posner reminds us that we continue to deny oravoid dealing with low probability, high consequence natural and man made risksto society such as asteroid collisions, biodiversity, and terrorism. One ofAmerica's preeminent scholars of social issues presents a compelling analysis ofthe problem of catastrophic risks and needed public policy response." --John M.Deutch, Institute Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, "With a broad vision and powerful intellectual tools, Posner addressesissues vital to our 21st Century technological civilization. Catastrophe willmake our world a safer place."--K. Eric Drexler, Founder and Chairman Emeritusof Foresight Institute, author of Nanosystems, "A fine lawyerly analysis.... Posner's perspective, very different fromthose held by most scientists, is a welcome addition to considerations ofcatastrophic risks."--Science, "We would be well advised to... take the message of this book seriously. We ignore it at (a small risk of) our (very great) peril."--The New York Times Book Review"Catastrophe is worth the price of the book simply for Posner's lively and readable summary of the apocalyptic dystopias that serious scientists judge to be possible."-- Graham Allison, The Washington Post Book World"A fine lawyerly analysis.... Posner's perspective, very different from those held by most scientists, is a welcome addition to considerations of catastrophic risks."--Science"Will likely spark controversy.... subtle insights...[and] thoughtful analysis."--Publishers Weekly"Once again, Judge Posner has added to our cultural dialogue in a useful and interesting way."--Law and Politics Book Review"With a broad vision and powerful intellectual tools, Posner addresses issues vital to our 21st Century technological civilization. Catastrophe will make our world a safer place."--K. Eric Drexler, Founder and Chairman Emeritus of Foresight Institute, author of Nanosystems"The scientific community should pay attention to Judge Richard Posner's Catastrophe. Posner reminds us that we continue to deny or avoid dealing with low probability, high consequence natural and man made risks to society such as asteroid collisions, biodiversity, and terrorism. One of America's preeminent scholars of social issues presents a compelling analysis of the problem of catastrophic risks and needed public policy response." --John M. Deutch, Institute Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology"This book provides a balanced and immensely informative discussion of catastrophic risks to the planet, and makes a logical first stab at policy responses. It should stimulate far more attention to the growing threat of such catastrophes as bioterrorism, strangelet disasters from particle accelerators, and non-linear climate change, among the academic and policy community."--Ian W. H. Parry, Resources for the Future, "Catastrophe is worth the price of the book simply for Posner's lively andreadable summary of the apocalyptic dystopias that serious scientists judge tobe possible."-- Graham Allison, The Washington Post Book World, "This book provides a balanced and immensely informative discussion of catastrophic risks to the planet, and makes a logical first stab at policy responses. It should stimulate far more attention to the growing threat of such catastrophes as bioterrorism, strangelet disasters from particleaccelerators, and non-linear climate change, among the academic and policy community."--Ian W. H. Parry, Resources for the Future, "With a broad vision and powerful intellectual tools, Posner addresses issues vital to our 21st Century technological civilization. Catastrophe will make our world a safer place."--K. Eric Drexler, Founder and Chairman Emeritus of Foresight Institute, author of Nanosystems, "This book provides a balanced and immensely informative discussion ofcatastrophic risks to the planet, and makes a logical first stab at policyresponses. It should stimulate far more attention to the growing threat of suchcatastrophes as bioterrorism, strangelet disasters from particle accelerators,and non-linear climate change, among the academic and policy community."--Ian W.H. Parry, Resources for the Future, "Once again, Judge Posner has added to our cultural dialogue in a usefuland interesting way."--Law and Politics Book Review, "We would be well advised to... take the message of this book seriously. We ignore it at (a small risk of) our (very great) peril."--The New York Times Book Review "Catastropheis worth the price of the book simply for Posner's lively and readable summary of the apocalyptic dystopias that serious scientists judge to be possible."-- Graham Allison,The Washington Post Book World "A fine lawyerly analysis.... Posner's perspective, very different from those held by most scientists, is a welcome addition to considerations of catastrophic risks."--Science "Will likely spark controversy.... subtle insights...[and] thoughtful analysis."--Publishers Weekly "Once again, Judge Posner has added to our cultural dialogue in a useful and interesting way."--Law and Politics Book Review "With a broad vision and powerful intellectual tools, Posner addresses issues vital to our 21st Century technological civilization.Catastrophewill make our world a safer place."--K. Eric Drexler, Founder and Chairman Emeritus of Foresight Institute, author ofNanosystems "The scientific community should pay attention to Judge Richard Posner'sCatastrophe. Posner reminds us that we continue to deny or avoid dealing with low probability, high consequence natural and man made risks to society such as asteroid collisions, biodiversity, and terrorism. One of America's preeminent scholars of social issues presents a compelling analysis of the problem of catastrophic risks and needed public policy response." --John M. Deutch, Institute Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology "This book provides a balanced and immensely informative discussion of catastrophic risks to the planet, and makes a logical first stab at policy responses. It should stimulate far more attention to the growing threat of such catastrophes as bioterrorism, strangelet disasters from particle accelerators, and non-linear climate change, among the academic and policy community."--Ian W. H. Parry, Resources for the Future, "We would be well advised to... take the message of this book seriously. We ignore it at (a small risk of) our (very great) peril."--The New York Times Book Review, "We would be well advised to... take the message of this book seriously. We ignore it at (a small risk of) our (very great) peril."-- The New York Times Book Review " Catastrophe is worth the price of the book simply for Posner's lively and readable summary of the apocalyptic dystopias that serious scientists judge to be possible."-- Graham Allison, The Washington Post Book World "A fine lawyerly analysis.... Posner's perspective, very different from those held by most scientists, is a welcome addition to considerations of catastrophic risks."-- Science "Will likely spark controversy.... subtle insights...[and] thoughtful analysis."-- Publishers Weekly "Once again, Judge Posner has added to our cultural dialogue in a useful and interesting way."-- Law and Politics Book Review "With a broad vision and powerful intellectual tools, Posner addresses issues vital to our 21st Century technological civilization. Catastrophe will make our world a safer place."--K. Eric Drexler, Founder and Chairman Emeritus of Foresight Institute, author of Nanosystems "The scientific community should pay attention to Judge Richard Posner's Catastrophe . Posner reminds us that we continue to deny or avoid dealing with low probability, high consequence natural and man made risks to society such as asteroid collisions, biodiversity, and terrorism. One of America's preeminent scholars of social issues presents a compelling analysis of the problem of catastrophic risks and needed public policy response." --John M. Deutch, Institute Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology "This book provides a balanced and immensely informative discussion of catastrophic risks to the planet, and makes a logical first stab at policy responses. It should stimulate far more attention to the growing threat of such catastrophes as bioterrorism, strangelet disasters from particle accelerators, and non-linear climate change, among the academic and policy community."--Ian W. H. Parry, Resources for the Future, "Once again, Judge Posner has added to our cultural dialogue in a useful and interesting way."--Law and Politics Book Review, "The scientific community should pay attention to Judge Richard Posner'sCatastrophe. Posner reminds us that we continue to deny or avoid dealing withlow probability, high consequence natural and man made risks to society such asasteroid collisions, biodiversity, and terrorism. One of America's preeminentscholars of social issues presents a compelling analysis of the problem ofcatastrophic risks and needed public policy response." --John M. Deutch,Institute Professor, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, "We would be well advised to... take the message of this book seriously.We ignore it at (a small risk of) our (very great) peril." --The New York TimesBook Review
Table of Content
IntroductionWhat is catastrophe?The organization of this bookSome useful disctinctions1. What are the catastrohpic risks, and how catastrophic are they?Natural catastrophesScientific accidentsOther unintended man-made catastrophesIntentional catastrophesCatastrophic synergies and lesser-included catastrophes2. Why so little is being done about the catastrophic risksCultural factorsPsychological factorsEconomic factors3. How to evaluate the catastrophic risks and the possible responses to themThe difference cost-benefit analysis can make: the case of RHICA modest version of the precautionary principleDiscounting to present valueTaxes, subsidies, and options: the case of global warmingValuing human livesRisk versus uncertaintyCoping with uncertaintyPolitics, expertise, and neutrality: RHIC revisitedSummary4. How to reduce the catastrophic risksInstitutional reformsFiscal tools: a recapSome hypothetical regulatory policiesConclusionNotesIndex
Copyright Date
2004
Lccn
2004-009728
Dewey Decimal
363.34
Intended Audience
Trade
Dewey Edition
22
Illustrated
Yes
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